參考文獻：

陳繼勇、劉衛(wèi)平，2015，《TPP對中國的機遇與挑戰(zhàn)》，《學習時報》，11月16日。

陳繼勇、劉衛(wèi)平，2017，《特朗普經(jīng)濟政策對全球經(jīng)濟可能的影響》，《學習時報》，3月6日。

陳繼勇、王保雙，2016，《關于美國“亞太再平衡”戰(zhàn)略的幾點思考》，《新常態(tài)下的中美經(jīng)貿關系》，上海社會科學出版社。

陳繼勇、吳頌，2014，《TPP促進東亞經(jīng)濟再平衡的不確定性及中國的對策》，《武漢大學學報》，第6期。

劉衛(wèi)平，2016，《美國強勢主導推動TPP與中國的應對》，《理論動態(tài)》，第2066期。

劉衛(wèi)平，2016，《全球化與國家主權的博弈》，《理論動態(tài)》，第2082期。

Impact of the US Economic Policy Shift on the Global Economy

Chen Jiyong  Liu Weiping

Abstract: The economic policy framework of the Trump government has been basically formed. Its core content is to "globally contract" economic and trade protection policy and "put America first" in the domestic economic policy. This policy framework will have a significant impact on the US economy, the global economy and Sino-US economic and trade relations. First of all, Trump's "US priority" large-scale fiscal stimulus, tax cuts, expansion of infrastructure investment and financial deregulation will have a great impact on the US short-term economic development. Second, Trump's "global contraction" of economic and trade protection policies will have an important effect on the global economic development, especially international trade, international finance, international investment and regional economic integration. At the same time, for China, the advantages outweigh the disadvantages; it will provide China with certain development room in the Asia-Pacific region and even around the globe, especially for China's "OBAOR" program. Third, in case that the EU, Russia, Japan, India, South Korea and the Trump government reach an agreement against China, it is recommended to actively use the existing international exchange platforms; create ties with the Trump government and the key members of his team; guide China's financial institutions, especially the development financial institutions and infrastructure construction enterprises; build an effective new Sino-US economic and trade cooperation pattern; and promote the healthy development of Sino-US economic and trade relations.

Keywords: Trump, contraction strategy, geopolitical, trade protection, global economy

陳繼勇，武漢大學美加經(jīng)濟研究所所長、教授、博導，中國美國經(jīng)濟學會會長。研究方向為世界經(jīng)濟、國際投資、國際金融與貿易。主要著作有《中國互利共贏對外開放戰(zhàn)略》《美國“雙赤字”與世界經(jīng)濟失衡》《國際商務與經(jīng)貿人才培養(yǎng)新模式——創(chuàng)新與實踐》等。劉衛(wèi)平，國家開發(fā)銀行研究院教授。